I once read a study that said the average person will know about 3,000 people by name over the course of their lifetime.

The chances that those people constitute a representative sample of the population—enough to justify saying, “I’ve talked to everyone I know, and I’m telling you, Bibi/Eisenkot/Bennett/Liberman are going to surprise everyone”—are painfully slim.

Statistics is a cruel tyrant: the sample must be representative.

We’ll eagerly await the actual election results.