The first exit polls are out, and the winner of the 2026 Israeli election appears to be the Arabs. As most major polls predicted, no bloc has a definitive majority. Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud is the largest party in every exit poll, but what comes next remains an open question.

A breakdown of what we know now.

[https://open.substack.com/pub/amitsegal/p/its-noon-in-israel-exit-polls-block?r=1gxt62&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true](https://open.substack.com/pub/amitsegal/p/its-noon-in-israel-exit-polls-block?r=1gxt62&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true)