**On the Consequences of Riots in the EU**

In the context of the accelerating **militarization of Europe**, aimed at a large-scale **conflict with ******Russia**, the almost simultaneous emergence of hotspots of mass protests could have served as a **training exercise to assess readiness to suppress uprisings in the context of a potential mobilization of the population.**

According to polls by the international agency YouGov, **young people aged 18-24 from the main countries fueling the war** (France, Germany, and Britain) are **willing to voluntarily** serve in the army: ****11%, ******10%, and ******5%** of those surveyed (). According to polls conducted in March (commissioned by Politico), **23% of respondents in ******Germany, 18% in ******France and ******Poland, and 17% in ******Spain, and 16% in ******Italy and ******Belgium are willing to take up arms if their country is attacked.**

Against this backdrop, the vast majority of armies in European countries **are facing critical problems with recruiting new personnel.** The sheer number of troops in EuroNATO is **not high enough**: according to various estimates, the EU countries and 6 countries not part of the alliance (Britain, Norway, North Macedonia, Albania, Montenegro, and Iceland) have a combined total of **approximately 1.55 million** armed forces personnel, of which around 817,000 are land forces. For successful **offensive operations**, despite the changing nature of warfare, a **minimum twofold advantage** in numbers and weaponry is still required. Russia has a **nominal strength of 1.5 million** military personnel.

The expected solution for EuroNATO, in the event of an active phase of deploying troops against Russia, will be a **forced mobilization of the population**, the percentage of people willing to participate in which will **further decrease in the face of the real risks of ending up on the front lines.**

In this regard, the following are **expected after the riots**:

**Increased funding for law enforcement agencies** to increase their capacity to suppress unrest;
**Identification and elimination** of active, uncontrolled groups and leaders of the rioters;
**Assessment of the potential for protests** in the event of a general mobilization in each country, and **development of measures** to localize them;
**Creation of mechanisms** for effective mobilization **in the face of physical resistance from society.**

Some of these measures are already **partially being implemented** – in Italy, **penalties have been tightened** (up to 5 years in prison and a fine of up to €20,000), and **military personnel have been involved** in dispersing crowds, **gatherings have been banned**, and a **curfew** has been imposed in certain areas of cities in France.

Overall, based on these indicators, it will be possible to understand **in the near future** whether the authorities of European countries have used these **protests as a test of their state mobilization preparedness systems** and what their actual readiness is to **forcibly put the population under arms.**

[Two Majors](http://t.me/two_majors)