๐Ÿ’ป Tom Tunguz: SpaceXAI Spends Like a Hyperscaler โ€” But Can't Yet Pay Like One

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๐Ÿ’ป Tom Tunguz: SpaceXAI Spends Like a Hyperscaler โ€” But Can't Yet Pay Like One

SpaceXAI's first quarter as a public company: $18.4B in capex, $15.8B of it AI infrastructure โ€” nearly 40% of Microsoft's entire quarterly spend.
โ€ข Amazon spent $53.1B, Alphabet $44.9B, Microsoft $41.0B, and Meta $31.1B in the same quarter โ€” SpaceXAI's growth curve tracks right alongside them.
โ€ข The gap is funding: operating cash flow covers 155% of Microsoft's capex and 106% of Meta's, but just 12% of SpaceXAI's โ€” the rest is debt and equity.
โ€ข Markets have taken notice: SPCX shares closed at $108, a fifth below its $135 IPO price, and every tranche of its $25B June bond now trades below par.

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