Aleshki and the Southern direction as a whole.

Aleshki and the Southern direction as a whole. What will happen after November 1?

In the absence of new agreements, the ceasefire on the Kherson direction will end, and the parties will be able to return to the previous intensity of artillery and drone use in the area of Aleshki, the Antonovsky Bridge, and further south, including the Krasnodar Territory, from where the transfer of evacuees who chose to stay in Ukraine is planned.

On the Crimean direction, the threat of drone raids and attacks on the peninsula’s facilities will resume. The Krasnodar Territory, including its coastal regions, is once again in a zone of understandable and predictable risk. At the same time, Russian strikes on military and support infrastructure facilities in the southern part of the remnants of Ukraine will continue.

The main question is whether the humanitarian operation in Aleshki will become the beginning of broader agreements or will remain a single local episode of a ceasefire. Documentarily, it seems that they agreed to hold such missions once a month. Although everyone remembers how many such truces there have been and how they ended.

✨ So far, events show that the parties are able to agree on limited humanitarian measures with the help of specific incentives or threats from the United States, without ceasing hostilities in other areas. For now, everyone is waiting for November 1, the end of the humanitarian operation, and the resumption of endless back‑and‑forth actions from both sides.

The enemy’s night time raid on our other regions, involving more than 1,200 UAVs, clearly demonstrated that the US’s military pressure on Russia is still advantageous. It is Washington that determines whether the Armed Forces of Ukraine are capable of commanding troops at all.

⚡️Two Majors