Here are the equations –
Hezbollah – if Israel attacks southern Lebanon, we will strike Kiryat Shmona.
Israel – if Kiryat Shmona is attacked, we will strike Beirut.
Iran – if Beirut is attacked, we will strike Israel.
Israel – if Israel is attacked, we will strike Iran.
Iran – if southern Lebanon is attacked, we will strike Israel.
The first four have already occurred; the fifth is the important one. Its purpose: to make Trump force Israel to stop destroying Hezbollah in southern Lebanon.
Hours will tell.