Amit Segal

Amit Segal

@amitseg

News from Israel

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My fellow polling nerds claim that Shas will drop to six seats, while Likud will rise to 27.

A 34-year low for Shas.

To put into perspective how long ago that was, the party’s chairman back then was... Read more →
President Herzog:

“One thing must be understood, and I said this even before the elections: We must do everything possible, especially after yesterday, to avoid another round of elections. Therefore,... Read more →
**Telegram Channel: Official Election Results**

**Updated:** October 28, 2026, at 14:23:10
**Approximately 85.6% of votes counted** (454,190 additional votes)

**Seats by Party:**
- Likud – 26 (-1)
-... Read more →
Rafi Ben Shitrit, No. 2 on the Yisrael Beiteinu party list, declared before the elections that there was absolutely no chance Netanyahu would dare set foot in his hometown of Beit She’an.

The... Read more →
Last night, the exit polls told one story: Netanyahu had lost, but it wasn’t clear who on the other side had won. This morning, the results are telling another. Netanyahu hasn’t won yet, but the... Read more →
**Update after 77% of the votes have been counted:**

Likud – 27
Yashar! – 22
Together – 12
Joint List – 11
The Democrats – 8
United Torah Judaism – 7
Yisrael Beiteinu – 7
Otzma Yehudit (Jewish... Read more →
And this also makes me think about the parallel reality we’ve been living in for the past three years. If the polls were that far off, perhaps they were also wrong about what the public wanted on the... Read more →
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Appointing a Knesset speaker would give the opposition control over parliament for a while, as well as the ability to pass a limited amount of legislation. But the price could be dramatic: new... Read more →
Despite the setback, talks are underway within the “Change Bloc” to replace the Speaker of the Knesset. The bloc’s leaders aim to agree on a candidate and carry out the replacement as early as the... Read more →
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More broadly, all the wasted right-wing votes over the past decade have come from the religious Zionist camp:

Feiglin
Bennett
Ben Gvir
Noam
Winter

A sector that has yet to mature politically and... Read more →